Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#250
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#259
Pace76.0#28
Improvement-0.9#216

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#175
First Shot+1.0#148
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#269
Layup/Dunks+2.6#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#226
Freethrows-0.9#233
Improvement-3.5#332

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#302
First Shot-4.4#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#254
Layups/Dunks-3.3#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#275
Freethrows-0.8#219
Improvement+2.7#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 114   @ Arizona St. L 70-88 15%     0 - 1 -12.4 -11.1 +0.6
  Nov 13, 2016 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 100-106 2OT 41%     0 - 2 -8.9 +9.2 -16.9
  Nov 25, 2016 170   @ Loyola Marymount L 62-78 23%     0 - 3 -13.6 -1.6 -13.8
  Nov 27, 2016 292   @ Pepperdine W 91-85 52%     1 - 3 +0.3 +3.7 -4.0
  Dec 03, 2016 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-74 75%     2 - 3 +0.6 +6.4 -5.7
  Dec 10, 2016 122   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 79-81 17%     2 - 4 +2.9 +16.1 -13.3
  Dec 16, 2016 104   @ San Francisco W 82-78 14%     3 - 4 +10.5 +16.4 -5.9
  Dec 20, 2016 265   @ Portland W 77-75 44%     4 - 4 -1.7 +14.1 -15.6
  Dec 29, 2016 172   North Dakota W 99-62 40%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +34.3 +17.7 +13.5
  Dec 31, 2016 284   Northern Colorado L 59-73 69%     5 - 5 1 - 1 -24.3 -16.2 -8.1
  Jan 07, 2017 283   Sacramento St. W 83-76 68%     6 - 5 2 - 1 -3.2 +8.6 -11.4
  Jan 14, 2017 334   @ Southern Utah W 88-77 70%     7 - 5 3 - 1 +0.2 -5.0 +3.9
  Jan 16, 2017 323   @ Northern Arizona L 76-83 61%     7 - 6 3 - 2 -15.3 -5.4 -9.4
  Jan 19, 2017 198   Montana W 88-79 48%     8 - 6 4 - 2 +4.3 +3.9 -0.3
  Jan 21, 2017 243   Montana St. L 65-71 58%     8 - 7 4 - 3 -13.4 -13.8 +0.5
  Jan 28, 2017 283   @ Sacramento St. L 77-80 OT 49%     8 - 8 4 - 4 -8.2 -5.8 -2.1
  Feb 02, 2017 221   @ Idaho L 72-89 35%     8 - 9 4 - 5 -18.3 +4.3 -23.9
  Feb 04, 2017 186   @ Eastern Washington L 124-130 3OT 26%     8 - 10 4 - 6 -4.5 +10.5 -13.1
  Feb 09, 2017 332   Idaho St. W 74-69 83%     9 - 10 5 - 6 -10.5 -13.4 +2.6
  Feb 11, 2017 184   Weber St. L 93-96 OT 43%     9 - 11 5 - 7 -6.5 +2.2 -8.2
  Feb 16, 2017 243   @ Montana St. L 90-92 OT 39%     9 - 12 5 - 8 -4.4 +3.5 -7.6
  Feb 18, 2017 198   @ Montana L 82-85 29%     9 - 13 5 - 9 -2.6 +1.1 -3.5
  Feb 23, 2017 334   Southern Utah W 93-86 84%     10 - 13 6 - 9 -8.9 -1.1 -8.4
  Feb 25, 2017 323   Northern Arizona W 84-72 78%     11 - 13 7 - 9 -1.3 -1.1 -1.3
  Mar 02, 2017 284   @ Northern Colorado L 84-87 50%     11 - 14 7 - 10 -8.2 +7.7 -15.8
  Mar 04, 2017 172   @ North Dakota L 73-82 23%     11 - 15 7 - 11 -6.7 -2.3 -3.8
  Mar 07, 2017 323   Northern Arizona W 80-67 70%     12 - 15 +2.2 +4.2 -1.9
  Mar 09, 2017 172   North Dakota L 72-95 31%     12 - 16 -23.2 -7.9 -12.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%